Análisis cuantitativo de riesgos utilizando "MCSimulRisk" como herramienta didáctica

• Autores: Fernando Acebes Senovilla, D Curto, J de Antón, Felix Antonio Villafáñez Cardeñoso
• Localización: Dirección y organización: Revista de dirección, organización y administración de empresas, ISSN 1132-175X, Nº 82, 2024, págs. 87-99
• Idioma: español
• Enlaces
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• Resumen

  • La gestión del riesgo es una disciplina fundamental dentro de la gestión de proyectos, la cual incluye, entre otros, el análisis cuantitativo de los riesgos. A lo largo de varios años de docencia, hemos observado dificultades en los alumnos al realizar Simulación de Monte Carlo, dentro del análisis cuantitativo de los riesgos. El objetivo de este artículo es presentar “MCSimulRisk”, como herramienta docente que permitirá a los estudiantes realizar simulación de Monte Carlo y aplicarlo a proyectos de cualquier complejidad, de una manera sencilla e intuitiva. Esta herramienta posibilita incorporar al modelo cualquier tipo de incertidumbre identificada en el proyecto

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